vlaze.com

Brandon Webb is having a Cy Young start to his season. In 9 starts this season the sinkerballer is 9-0 with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP under a run. WHIP measures walks and hits to innings pitch. Low WHIP means you don’t give up base runners and when you don’t give up base runners you don’t give up big innings. Webb has given up 3 runs or less in 8 of his 9 starts this season and teams are batting .198 against him. Florida is slumping losers of 5 of their last 6 through last weekend. Ricky Nolasco has gotten bombed at home this season with an ERA of 11.56 in two home starts this season. Arizona has shown the ability to win by margin behind Webb and looks like a good spot to play the run line with a Cy Young type pitcher against a struggling Nolasco at home. We get the benefit of 9 at bats with Arizona on the road in this one. I am going to take Arizona behind Webb on the run line laying 1 ½ runs @ -120.